Prof Andrew J.G. Cairns FRSE
Maxwell Institute, Edinburgh, and
Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics
School of Mathematical and Computer Sciences
Heriot-Watt University
Edinburgh, EH14 4AS, UK

tel: (+44) 131 451 3245
fax: (+44) 131 451 3249

IME 2023: the 26th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

The Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics was recently proud to host the first in-person IME congress since 2019.


ARC Longevity, Mortality and Morbidity Research Programme

Latest research, papers and presentations from the Modelling Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk research programme funded by the ARC.

Upcoming conferences and webinars

Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity Risk

Andrew Cairns is co-inventor of the CBD stochastic mortality models and author of the LifeMetrics open source R code for fitting stochastic mortality models that can be used for modelling, measurement and management of longevity risk.
Short biography and CV:

Recent papers, talks and other news:

  • Cairns, A.J.G., Wen, J, and Kleinow, T. (2023)
    Estimating neighbourhood death rates using the random forest algorithm. Longevity Bulletin, 15: 22-29.
  • Wen, J., Cairns, A.J.G., and Kleinow, T. (2023)
    Modelling Socio-Economic Mortality at Neighbourhood Level
    ASTIN Bulletin, 53: 285-310. (Open access journal version)
  • Cairns, A.J.G., Blake, D., Dowd, K., Coughlan, G., Jones, O., and Rowney, J. (2022)
    A General Framework for Analysing the Mortality Experience of a Large Portfolio of Lives: With an Application to the UK Universities Superannuation Scheme.
    European Actuarial Journal, (Journal open access PDF)
  • Full list of publications.
  • Selected presentations.
    Gilts Database: (UK government bonds data: prices, amounts, indices)

    photo Research: Principal research interests are:


    How to find the Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics:
    Campus Map: The Colin Maclaurin building is number 1 on the map.