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Programme and Participants list - printable version - 4 pages pdf
The durations of the sessions indicated are intended to allow some time for general discussion. Guidelines are that individual talks should be 15-20 mins, except for the initial review (O'Neill) and the final talk (Keiding) for each of which 40-45 minutes is allocated. Up to 40 minutes is allowed in the timetable for the combined talks (Ball and Sirl, O'Neill and Kypraios).
All events from Tuesday to Thursday will be at the main venue, the Johann Baptist Hirscher Haus, Rottenburg, unless otherwise stated.
On Friday, the talks and discussions will be in Tübingen, at the Conference Centre of Tübingen University Clinics.
18.30 - 20.00
Welcome, introductions, and drinks at Johann Baptist Hirscher Haus
20.00
Dinner at Württemberger Hof in Rottenburg
Relating models to data I - Chair: Denis Mollison
9.00-11.00
Welcome and introductory remarks
Philip O'Neill Relating models to data: a review
Nele Goeyvaerts
Elucidating age-specific differences in susceptibility and infectiousness for airborne
infections from data on social contacts and serological status
Nico Nagelkerke
Heterogeneity in host HIV susceptibility as a potential contributor to recent HIV prevalence declines in Africa
Coffee
11.30-12.45
Vern Farewell
The use of auxiliary information to deal with informatively missing data
Lisa Sattenspiel
The potential significance of co-circulating pathogens on patterns of spatial spread
Nelson Onyango
Optimal Vaccination Strategies in Periodic Settings
13.00 Lunch and brief walking tour of Rottenburg
New approaches to modeling - Chair: Martin Eichner
14.45-16.00
Valerie Isham
Epidemics and rumours on networks
Pieter Trapman
Is R0 compatible with spatial epidemics? - new results from long-range percolation
Eben Kenah
Network-based targeting of interventions
Coffee
16.30-17.45
Mirjam Kretzschmar
Comparison of network models for STI transmission and intervention: how useful are they for public health?
Malwina Luczak
Laws of large numbers for epidemic models with countably many types
Alun Lloyd
Novel control strategies for vector borne diseases: new challenges for modellers
Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd
18.00-19.00
Tommi Asikainen
Future disease challenges in Europe - where modelling is needed
General discussion.
20.00
Dinner at Weinstube Stanis in Rottenburg
08.45-10.00
Maroussia Bojkova
On age-dependent branching models for surveillance of
infectious diseases controlled by additional vaccination
Ake Svensson
Non-parametric estimation of transmission functions in emerging epidemics
Jacco Wallinga
Who infected whom? Estimation of infection trees, generation intervals and local network structure
10.00
Workshop photo
Coffee
10.30-12.00
Mark Handcock
Modeling Networks from partially-observed network data
Krista Gile
Using link-tracing data to inform epidemiology
Eduardo Massad
Scale-Free Network of Dengue in Singapore
Johannes Mueller
What do data from contact tracing tell us?
12.00 Lunch
Integration of modelling scales - Chair: Denis Mollison
13.00-14.30
Frank Ball and David Sirl
Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing
Steven Leach
European demographic and movement data for modelling
Iain Barrass
Modelling world-wide disease spread: a case for using different spatial scales
14.30 Bus to Tübingen
Excursion to Tübingen, Bebenhausen Monastery, and Hagelloch
Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd
18.00-19.30
Klaus Dietz A historic Hagelloch measles epidemic
Neil Ferguson
Model complexity: holding back the simulation tide
General discussion and pre-dinner drinks
20.00
Dinner at Grüner Baum Inn in Hagelloch
Public health and policy issues - Chair: Valerie Isham
09.00-10.15
Sheila Bird
Public health and policy issues on illegal drugs use
Peter Grove
Within Pandemic Forecasting in the UK: Plans for nowcasting, short and long term forecasting in an influenza pandemic and the experience gained from exercises
Tommi Asikainen
Modelling as a tool for public health, role and structure of
European Union wide networks
Coffee
10.30-12.00
Philip O'Neill and Theodore Kypraios
Modelling and data analysis for antibiotic-resistant pathogens in
healthcare settings
Mick Roberts
Seasonal influenza in New Zealand
Matt Ferrari
Spatial patterns on the edge of dynamic stability: measles in the
Sahel
Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd
12.15-12.45
Final discussion
13.00 Lunch at the Conference Centre of Tübingen University Clinics
13:30 Change to CRONA Lecture hall 210 of Tübingen University Clinics
13.45-14.30
Niels Keiding Influenza in Denmark 1918: three contrasting analyses
15.00-16.00
Retirement celebration of Klaus Dietz
Klaus Unertl Laudatio
Klaus Dietz Models - Modelle
16.00-17.00 Reception and snacks
Visit to Tübingen Castle
18:00 Reception
18:30 Guided tour through Tübingen Castle Museum
19:30 Organ concert in Castle Chapel
20:00 Dinner in honour of Klaus Dietz at Tübingen Castle, Fürstenzimmer
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20th October 2008