F70RT Risk Theory

Dr Seva ShneerDr Karamjeet Singh

Course co-ordinator(s): Dr Seva Shneer (Edinburgh), Dr Karamjeet Singh (Malaysia).

Aims:

This course aims:

  • to introduce and apply the statistical techniques used in the analysis of general insurance processes, including models for aggregate claims and simple reinsurance arrangements;
  • to examine the assessment of premiums for short term insurance contracts;
  • to introduce experience rating (a) using Bayesian credibility theory, and (b) in the context of no claims discount systems;
  • to introduce classical ruin theory;
  • to examine claims reserving through the use of run-off triangles;
  • to cover the basics of simulation.

Summary:

  • Conditional expectation and compound distributions
  • Loss distributions
  • Aggregate risk model and Individual risk model
  • Risk sharing – simple reinsurance and deductibles
  • Premium calculation principles
  • Bayesian estimation and Credibility Theory
  • Experience rating – No Claims Discount systems
  • Ruin theory
  • Claims reserving – run-off triangles
  • Simulation

Detailed Information

Course Description: Link to Official Course Descriptor.

Pre-requisite course(s): F79MA Statistical Models A (Project Course) .

Location: Edinburgh, Malaysia.

Semester: 2.

Syllabus:

The detailed syllabus is given in the workbook. There is also a link to it on the course webpage.

Reading list:

A substantial spiral-bound workbook is given to each student – it contains core lecture material, worked examples, illustrations, and all tutorials.

SCQF Level: 10.

Credits: 15.

Other Information

Help: If you have any problems or questions regarding the course, you are encouraged to contact the course leader.

Canvas: further information and course materials are available on Canvas